Bank of England reveals plan to relax mortgage affordability rules

The suggested affordability changes should make it easier for first-time buyers to get mortgages in 2022.

The Bank of England has announced plans to relax mortgage lending rules.

At the moment, borrowers have to show they’d be able to afford the repayments if their mortgage reverted to their lender's higher variable rate and interest rates jumped 3% .

This test is designed to check buyers could still meet mortgage payments if rates went up.

But the Bank’s Financial Policy Committee (FPC) has decided this affordability rule is no longer needed.

It will consult mortgage lenders and other industry parties early next year about withdrawing the 3% interest rate rule.

The change is likely to offer better mortgage opportunities to first-time buyers.

Why are mortgage affordability rules being eased now?

A number of new affordability guidelines were introduced in 2014.

This idea was to protect the banking system from high levels of household debt following the financial crisis of 2008.

At that time, the FPC recommended that lenders limit the number of mortgages they offered to people borrowing 4.5 times their income.

It also asked lenders to make sure borrowers could afford their mortgage repayments when their fixed-rate deal ended.

This calculation was based on interest rates increasing by 3%, and borrowers being moved on to their lender’s “reversion rate” or higher standard variable rate, which is typically 4.5% or higher.

The reforms were introduced when interest rates were expected to rise to 2.25% in the coming five years.

Today, the Bank of England base rate currently stands at 0.25%.

While interest rates are expected to rise next year, they are likely to do so at a much slower rate than previously expected.

Meanwhile, the FPC has decided other limits on how much banks can lend to people are enough to protect financial stability.

This includes limiting the number of mortgages given to people borrowing a high multiple of their income to just 15%.

Who does the change in mortgage affordability rules affect?

The end of the higher standard variable plus 3% interest rate affordability rule is great news for first-time buyers.

The fact that people buying their first home typically have lower salaries and smaller deposits meant they were more impacted.

For example, a borrower applying for a two-year fixed rate mortgage with interest charged at 1.99%, would have to show they could still afford repayments if the interest rate was 7.5%.

While monthly repayments on a £160,000 mortgage at 1.99% are £682, they would nearly double to £1,196 if the rate was 7.5%.

The rule led to thousands of borrowers being told they could not afford a mortgage, even though they were never likely to face repayments at such high interest rates.

The changes are likely to mean more first-time buyers make it onto the ladder in 2022.

But, the announcement was not all good news for first-time buyers.

The FPC has decided to keep limits in place on the number of high loan-to-income mortgages lenders can provide to borrowers.

Mortgages are getting cheaper for first-time buyers 

More good news for first-time buyers is that the average cost of a mortgage for people with only a 5% deposit has fallen to a record low.

The typical cost of a two-year fixed rate mortgage for someone borrowing 95% of their home’s value fell for the eighth month in a row in November to 3.09%.

Meanwhile, the cost of a five-year fixed rate deal dropped to 3.39%.

Both rates are the lowest financial information group Moneyfacts has recorded since records began in 2011.

The number of different mortgages available to all borrowers has reached the highest level since 2008.

Homeowners now have more than 5,300 different deals to choose from.

This includes more than 700 mortgages for borrowers with deposits of 10% or less.

First-time buyers struggled to get a mortgage in 2021

This year saw plenty of first-time buyers have their mortgage applications rejected by banks or building societies.

Only 35% of first-time buyers had their first mortgage application approved in 2021.

This is compared with 48% who were approved first-time in March 2020, according to research by specialist lender Aldermore.

The reasons buyers were turned down for a mortgage included:

  • a poor credit history
  • administrative errors
  • not having a large enough deposit.
  • having taken out a payday loan
  •  being self-employed
  • having an irregular income
  • a high level of debt.

Buyers surveyed blamed the situation on the Covid-19 pandemic.

Half of those surveyed had experienced disruption to their employment, such as being furloughed or made redundant.

While 2022 looks set to offer more mortgage opportunities, buyers will still need a good credit score.

What else is happening in the mortgage market?

Mortgage lending looks set to reach a record high in 2021.

This is on the back of high levels of housing market activity caused by the pandemic-induced search for space and stamp duty holiday.

Lenders are expected to have advanced a total of £316bn-worth of mortgages during the year.

That’s 31% more than in 2020, according to mortgage industry body UK Finance.

The prediction is in line with our own data that estimates one in every 16 properties will change hands this year.

We’ve seen the busiest property market for 14 years, and the increase in activity has not just been seen among homeowners.

Lending to buy-to-let landlords soared by 83% year-on-year to £18 bn, the UK Finance figures showed.

The private rental sector currently faces a significant mismatch between supply and demand.

A shortage of homes to rent has been putting upward pressure on the cost of renting.

The cost of renting a home in the UK outside of London is now £809 a month on average.

But the increase in buy-to-let lending revealed by UK Finance suggests landlords have been buying more homes this year.

An increase in supply will potentially mean less competition for rentals, which could moderate rental costs.


Interest rates go up for the first time in 3 years

Nearly 2m homeowners will face mortgage repayment increases of around £10 to £15 a month as the Bank Rate rises to 0.25%

The Bank of England has increased interest rates for the first time in more than three years.

The Bank Rate, otherwise known as the official cost of borrowing, has gone up from a record low of 0.1% to 0.25%.

The move by the Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) means nearly 2m homeowners will see their monthly mortgage repayments go up.

The change will add around £14 a month to repayments on a £200,000 mortgage.

But the majority of mortgage-holders will not be affected by the hike as they have fixed-rate loans.

Why are interest rates going up?

Inflation has reached a 10-year high, which is why interest rates are going up.

The MPC can move interest rates up or down to help manage inflation.

Inflation is the rate at which the things we buy are getting more expensive. It is measured by the Consumer Prices Index.

Inflation reached 5.1% in November, more than double the Bank of England’s 2% target.

Raising interest rates helps to cool inflation by making it more expensive to borrow money.

Higher interest rates discourage individuals and businesses from spending, which causes the economy to slow and price rises (inflation) to ease.

Will my mortgage payments go up?

Some mortgages move up and down in line with changes to the Bank Rate.

These mortgages might be tracker deals or the standard variable rates that borrowers revert to once a fixed-rate deal ends.

As a result, any borrowers on one of these home loans are likely to see the cost of their monthly repayments go up. But the increases will not be large.

Mortgage trade body UK Finance estimates the 850,000 people with a tracker mortgage will see their monthly repayments rise by an average of £15.45.

Meanwhile, the 1.1m borrowers on a standard variable rate will face an increase of £9.58 per month.

But the majority of mortgage-holders will not see any change. This is because 74% of mortgage-holders are on fixed rate deals.

Under a fixed-rate deal the interest rate you pay stays the same for the length of the product - typically two or five years.

What’s the wider impact of interest rate rises?

There was some but not a lot of surprise that the Bank Rate went up to 0.25%.

Despite the economic uncertainty created by the omicron variant, the MPC had been expected to raise the official cost of borrowing from its record low level.

As a result, many mortgage lenders had already priced in a possible increase into the interest rates they were offering on new deals.

This, combined with the fact that the Bank Rate only increased by 0.15%, means the cost of new mortgage deals is unlikely to shoot up in the near future.

That said, economists are expecting further rate hikes in 2022, with some predicting the official cost of borrowing could end the year as high as 1%.

Mortgage rates are expected to trend up during the coming 12 months. But strong competition in the market means rates are likely to remain relatively low.

If you’re currently thinking of remortgaging, it makes sense to do so sooner rather than later.

The interest rate increase is expected to have only a very limited impact on the housing market more broadly.

The cost of borrowing is only one of the factors that affects house price growth, and interest rates are still very low by historical standards.

Strong demand from buyers, high levels of employment and a shortage of homes for sale is likely to continue to put upward pressure on property prices.


Revealed: how much parents give their children to help them buy a home

We lift the lid on how hundreds of thousands of grown-up children are set to be handed money to put towards a deposit as a Christmas present this year.

A staggering 64% of parents whose grown-up children own a home have given them money to help them onto the property ladder.

And a further 10% of parents said that while they did not contribute to their children’s house deposit themselves, other relatives did.

Our research shows that parents forked out an average £32,440 to put towards their children's house deposit.

Some parents went even further, with 14% giving their children more than £50,000.

Meanwhile, 11% of parents paid the entire deposit for a new home. And 4% went one step further still and bought a home for their offspring mortgage-free.

Our research was carried out among Zoopla users, nearly 1,100 of whom are parents to grown-up children.

Giving the kids a deposit for Christmas?

Hundreds of thousands of people are set to get some festive cheer this Christmas in the shape of help with a deposit for a new home.

Yes, that's right, 3% of parents with adult children plan to give them money this Christmas to help them onto the property ladder.

But it is not just deposits that parents are dishing out as presents for special occasions.

Nearly one in 10 parents whose grown-up children own a home have given them money for their mortgage as a Christmas or birthday present.

Some 11% of parents have given their children rent as a present.

Here’s what else parents have given their children as a Christmas or birthday present:

  • money for bills: 15% of parents
  • money for repairs: 13% of parents
  • money for decorating: 12% of parents.

Why do parents help their children to buy a home?

Up to 25% of parents helped their children with a deposit for a new home simply because they could afford to do so.

Meanwhile, 24% of parents said their children would never have been able to afford to get onto the property ladder without their help.

Nearly 20% contributed out of guilt or sympathy, believing it to be much harder for their children to buy a new home than it was for them.

What else are parents paying out for?

The so-called 'Bank of Mum and Dad' doesn’t always stop at the deposit.

Up to 17% of parents currently help their adult children with rent or mortgage payments, with 8% doing so every month.

In fact, 36% of parents have helped with their children's rent or mortgage payments at some stage.

What’s more, 11% give their children a regular allowance for home-related expenses, while 28% offer them ad-hoc financial support.

What could our research mean for you?

Our research shows just how few young homeowners have been able to get the keys to their own home independently.

Around three-quarters of buyers had a helping hand financially from family.

Those who managed to ‘go it alone’ and buy a home without parental support are very much in the minority.

Daniel Copley, our consumer expert, explained:

“When looking at the data, it is very clear that average house prices in the UK have increased at a greater rate than salaries over recent decades, reinforcing the notion that it is harder for young adults to get on the property ladder today than it was for previous generations.

“Despite the financial hurdle that a first home purchase can present, our data demonstrates that first-time buyers are prolific in the market and have been for some time.

“Putting more money towards the purchase of a home can help reduce mortgage payments and in turn can unlock lower interest rates, so it’s clear that, when it comes to property, the ‘Bank of Mum and Dad’ will be in business for a long time to come.”

What if the Bank of Mum and Dad can't help out?

The government has a number of initiatives designed to help first-time buyers get onto the property ladder. They include:

  • Help to Buy: Equity Loan: offers aspiring homeowners the chance to buy a new-build home with just a 5% deposit
  • Shared Ownership: allows buyers to purchase a share of a property and pay rent on the remaining share
  • First Homes: helps local first-time buyers and key workers by offering new-build homes at a 30% - 50% discount
  • Lifetime ISA: allows first-time buyers to save up to £4,000 a year, with the government adding a 25% bonus
  • 95% mortgage guarantee scheme: the government ‘guarantees’ mortgages for buyers with 5% deposits.

Key takeaways

  • Nearly two-thirds of parents have helped their children with a deposit for a new home, forking out an average of £32,440
  • Some 24% of parents say their children would never have been able to afford to buy a home on their own
  • The so-called 'Bank of Mum and Dad' doesn’t stop at deposits, with 36% of parents helping with rent or mortgage payments, too

One in every 16 homes to change hands in 2021

Pent up demand triggered by the pandemic leads to the busiest market for more than a decade as one in every 16 homes is set to be sold to new owners.

One in every 16 privately-owned properties is set to change owners in 2021, making it the busiest year for the housing market since 2007.

The ongoing re-evaluation of homes triggered by the Covid-19 pandemic has continued to drive increased demand throughout the past year.

The high number of buyers in the market, combined with a shortage of properties for sale, has pushed up the average cost of a UK home to £240,000, compared with £200,000 five years ago.

During the past year alone, the typical property has seen £15,500 added to its value, driven in part by buyer appetite for bigger homes, especially in commuter zones and rural areas.

What’s happening to house prices?

House prices rose at an annual rate of 6.9% in October, double the rate of 3.5% recorded in the same month of 2020.

But the figure represents a slight easing in growth compared with the previous two months, and this trend is expected to continue into next year.

HPI November 2021: Annual and quarterly house price growth eases

Quarterly figures also suggest the rate of price rises is slowing, with property values increasing by 1.2% in the three months to October, compared with 2.8% in the three months to the end of July.

Wales continued to see the strongest gains, with house prices rising 10.8% year-on-year, followed by the North West at 9%.

At the other end of the scale, London saw the slowest growth of just 2.3%.

On a city level, Liverpool, Manchester and Sheffield, where property remains relatively affordable, posted the highest increases of 10.6%, 8.7% and 7.9% respectively.

Here's how prices have grown in cities over the last quarter

HPI November 2021: quarterly price growth eases across the regions chart

How busy is the housing market?

The property market continues to be busy with buyer demand running 28% above the five-year average.

Unfortunately, this strong demand has not been met by an increase in homes being put up for sale, with the number of properties on the market down 42% compared with the five-year average.

HPI November 2021: total stock of houses running at half the five-year average

Although there is a shortage of both houses and flats, the number of houses listed for sale is more than 55% down on the five-year average, while flats are down by a more moderate 15%.

This difference in availability is reflected in price growth, with the average cost of all types of houses jumping by 8.3% during the past year, while the typical cost of a flat has risen by a more moderate 1.6%.

HPI November 2021: price growth for houses twice the five-year average

What could this mean for you?

First-time buyers

Intense competition in the market, combined with rising prices, is bad news for first-time buyers.

That said, you can put yourself in a much better position if you're prepared to purchase a flat, rather than a house.

Not only is the shortage of flats for sale less acute than that of houses, but flats have also seen lower price gains in the past year, making them more affordable.

Flats without outdoor space are also taking longer to sell than houses and flats with access to gardens, making this sector of the market less frenzied.

Home-movers

If you have a home you want to sell, particularly if it's a family home or larger house, you're in poll position to obtain both a quick sale and your asking price, as demand for these types of properties remains high.

That said, in the current fast-moving market, co-ordinating your sale with your next purchase could be tricky.

If you do want to sell, you should contact estate agents now to ensure your home is ready to list in January, in time for the New Year rush.

Take the opportunity to get a feel for how fast-paced the market is in your area and how much choice you'll have for your next home. But bear in mind that the market should see a spike in new listings in the New Year.

What will happen in the housing market?

Buyer demand is expected to remain strong going into 2022, but new supply is also likely to come on to the market, as households use the holiday period to make a decision about moving.

The proportion of buyers who are also sellers is expected to increase, helping to ease the shortage of supply.

HPI November 2021: house price growth to slow over 2022 chart

Grainne Gilmore, head of research at Zoopla, said: “In typical years, the highly seasonal supply of homes being listed for sale slows in the run up to Christmas, but rises sharply in the new year.

“On average, the supply of listings at the end of January runs some 50% higher than the start of December.

“Other factors that will affect prices next year include the looming economic headwinds in the shape of rising inflation – which will push household costs higher.

“Even with some interest-rate rises, mortgage rates are likely to remain relatively low compared to long-run averages, and there is more room for price growth across some of the most affordable housing markets.”

Overall, house prices are expected to rise by 3% in 2022, while around 1.2 million homes are likely to change hands, down from an estimated 1.5 million this year.


UK lender offers 40-year fixed-rate mortgage

The long-term mortgage deal means borrowers will pay the same rate for up to four decades. What are the key advantages and disadvantages?
Buyers now have the option to keep the interest they pay on their mortgage the same for up to 40 years.

Specialist lender Kensington Mortgages has launched a 40-year fixed-rate mortgage.

The deal offers borrowers the chance to pay the same interest rate on their home loan for between 11 and 40 years.

Their interest rate will not change even if the Bank of England increases the official cost of borrowing.

Interest rates are currently at record lows, and buyers who fear the impact of rate rises could benefit from fixing their mortgage now.

The maximum term of a fixed-rate mortgage is usually 10 years.

It is rare in the UK for fixed rate deals to cover the entire “term” of a mortgage, which is usually 25 to 35 years.

“A fixed-rate that covers the entire mortgage term is already very popular in some parts of continental Europe,” said Mark Arnold, CEO of Kensington Mortgages.

“It is likely to become increasingly attractive in a rate-rising environment.”
Why are 40-year fixed mortgages on offer now?

Interest rates are currently at a record low of 0.1%. But the Bank of England is expected to start increasing them in the near future.

If you have a fixed-rate mortgage your repayments stay the same for the product term. The deals typically have terms of two or five years.

Opting for a longer term enables homeowners to benefit from record low rates for longer.

Even so, a term of up to 40 years is highly unusual.

Online broker and lender Habito currently also offers a 40-year fixed rate deal.

A handful of lenders also offer 10-year fixed rate mortgages.
Can I get a 40-year fixed rate mortgage?

One key advantage of the 40-year mortgage is that it judges affordability based on the interest rate the borrower will actually pay.

By contrast, many lenders base affordability on a hypothetical rate if interest rates rise.

As a result, people may be able to borrow more with the Kensington Mortgages product.
What are the disadvantages of a 40-year mortgage?

Borrowers should think carefully before opting for a long-term fixed rate deal.

If you move home during the mortgage term, it should be possible to move the mortgage with you. This is known as “porting”.

But, if you want to pay your mortgage off early, you could face hefty fees.

For example, if you want to leave the mortgage in the first 15 years, you will need to pay a fee worth 7% of the outstanding balance.

The exit penalty gradually falls to 2% of the outstanding debt by year 36.

That said, there are no early redemption penalties if you are selling the property.

Crucially, these fees are also not charged if you are impacted by a critical illness or if the mortgage holder dies.
What else do I need to know about 40-year fixed mortgages?

The Kensingont Mortgage 40-year deal is available to borrowers with deposits of between 40% and 5%.

Interest rates for people fixing for between 36 and 40 years start at 3.34%.

The lowest rate is available to someone with a 40% deposit. This means they are borrowing 60% of their home’s value, and paying a £1,499 arrangement fee.

People with only a 5% deposit will pay a higher rate of 4.16%, if they pay the same arrangement fee.

Lower interest rates are available for people fixing for a shorter period of time.

Rates start at just 2.83% for those fixing for between 11 and 15 years.

Key takeaways

  • UK lender Kensington Mortgages has launched a 40-year fixed rate mortgage
  • The deal offers borrowers the chance to pay the same interest rate for between 11 and 40 years
  • Interest rates for people fixing for between 36 and 40 years start at 3.34%.

Rent increases hit 13-year high as demand in major cities doubles

Rent increases have hit a 13-year high as demand for property doubles in the central zones of major cities. And for the first time in 16 months, London rents are rising.

Rent increases have hit a 13-year high as demand from renters in the central zones of major cities doubles.

The typical cost of renting a home in the UK, excluding London, now stands at £809 per month, according to our latest Rental Market Report.

While renters are returning to cities, the rise in demand is not being met by an increase in the number of homes available to rent, forcing rents higher.

The good news is that despite the increase in rents, affordability has remained largely unchanged thanks to rising pay, with rents accounting for an average of 37% of a single tenant’s monthly income.

Rental Market Report November 2021: affordability chart

Gráinne Gilmore, head of research at Zoopla, said: “Households looking for the flexibility of rental accommodation, especially students and city workers, are back in the market after consecutive lockdowns affected demand levels in major cities.”

What’s happening to rents?

Average UK rents, excluding London, have risen by 6% during the year to the end of September, jumping by 3% in the past three months alone.

Strong rental growth is being driven by a return of workers to city centres and students to universities.

Rental Market Report November 2021: demand in cities returns

It can also be explained in part by renters opting for larger, and by extension more expensive, properties as part of the pandemic-induced search for space.

The South West saw the biggest jump in rental growth at 9%, due to its popularity as a place to live, followed by regions where renting remains most affordable, namely Wales, where rents have risen 7.7% year-on-year and the East Midlands at 6.9%.

Rent increases are running well ahead of the five-year average in many of the UK’s largest cities, with Bristol seeing the strongest rise of 8.4%, while Nottingham wasn't far behind at 8.3%, and Glasgow was in third place at 7.2%.

Even in London, rents, which had fallen for 15 months in a row, are rising again, increasing by 1.6% in the year to the end of September as offices reopened and city life resumed.

Despite the bounce back, rents in the capital are still 5% lower than they were at the start of the pandemic, following significant falls during the past 18 months.

What’s demand for rental homes like?

Demand in major cities such as Leeds, Manchester, and Edinburgh doubled in the three months to the end of September, compared with the earlier part of the year, as renters rushed back to city centres following the easing of Covid-19 restrictions.

Rental Market Report November 2021: supply and demand

Meanwhile Birmingham has seen a 60% spike and London has seen a 50% jump in demand.

Across the UK as a whole, demand from renters is 43% higher than the five-year average.

The net result is a fast-paced market with homes taking an average of just 15 days to rent across the UK.

Is there a good supply of homes available to rent?

Unfortunately, this increased demand is not being met a rise in the number of homes available to rent, with properties on the market 43% below the five-year average.

The lack of supply is being driven by a combination of long-term factors which have caused landlords to exit the sector, such as the 3% stamp duty surcharge on additional properties, and the post-lockdown spike in demand.

What could this mean for you?

Tenants

If you're looking for a new home to rent, you have two issues to contend with, namely intense competition and rising rents.

You can register with us to receive alerts when a property meeting your criteria becomes available, helping you to stay ahead of the competition.

You may find you're able to get somewhere with a lower rent if you're prepared to compromise on property type, such as opting for a flat rather than a house, or choosing a less central location.

Landlords

If you're a landlord with a property to rent, the dual trend of rising demand and higher rents is good news for you.

The current buoyancy of the rental market may mean it's a good time to think about extending your property portfolio.

But bear in mind that demand patterns have changed compared with during the height of the pandemic, with renters returning to city centre locations.

What’s the outlook?

Looking ahead, the shortage of homes available to rent looks set to continue due to lower levels of investment by landlords.

Meanwhile, demand is also expected to be strong as the employment market remains relatively robust and there is still pent-up demand, particularly for homes in city centres.

This mismatch between supply and demand will continue to push up rents.

Overall, rents across the UK, excluding London, are likely to end 2022 4.5% higher than they started it, while rents in London are likely to rise by 3.5% to exceed their pre-pandemic levels.


What's in store for the housing market in 2022?

2021 is expected to be a record year for sales with 1.5m transactions taking place. But what can we expect for 2022? Our HPI forecast reveals all.

The end of the stamp duty holiday has failed to dampen demand from potential buyers, which is up 30% on the five-year average.

Thanks to the tapering-off period at the end of the holiday, the anticipated ‘cliff edge’ is nowhere to be seen and the pandemic-induced boom still has further to run.

An estimated 1.5 million homes are expected to change hands in 2021, beating 2007’s previous record, according to our latest House Price Index report.

The combination of a nation re-evaluating what they want from a home, low mortgage rates and the stamp duty holiday have all driven unprecedented levels of demand.

Homes collectively worth £473 billion will be sold this year, that’s up £95 billion on the number of offers accepted in 2020.

However, the level of activity is expected to slow next year as the market faces a number of headwinds.

 

What’s happening to house prices now?

Annual house price growth was running at 6.6% at the end of September, but this headline figure masks significant regional variations.

Price growth continues to be strongest in regions where property remains affordable, with Wales seeing the strongest gains of 10.4%, followed by the North West at 8.8% and Northern Ireland at 8.3%.

Clear relationship between affordability and house price growth

Reflecting the regional trend, the cities with the strongest price growth were Liverpool, Manchester and Sheffield, all located in northern regions.

HPI static map October 2021

At the other end of the spectrum, London, where the typical property costs 11.5 times average earnings, recorded price growth of just 2.3%.

The capital was the only region in which gains were below the five-year average.

Price growth running ahead of five year average in all areas except London

First-time buyers return to the market

Demand from potential buyers has been running at 30% above the five-year average since the summer, and looks set to remain heightened for the rest of 2021 and into 2022.

But the mix of buyers has now changed.

Following the first lockdown in 2020, the market was dominated by wealthier homeowners with high value properties.

In 2021, mortgage availability improved and more first-time buyers returned to the market, leading to a mix of movers that’s more in line with normal levels.

Unfortunately, the increase in demand is not being met by higher supply, with the number of homes listed for sale 38% lower than the five-year average.

This mismatch between supply and demand will continue to put upward pressure on prices.

Demand continues to outstrip supply October 2021

What will happen to the housing market in 2022?

Moving into 2022, the housing market will be influenced by both positive and negative factors.

On the positive side, the pandemic-induced search for space has further to run.

The ability to work from home has expanded the horizons for many office workers who now feel able to look further afield.

Our research shows that 22% of people currently want to move, significantly higher than the usual 5% in a normal market.

The high levels of equity homeowners have built up during the past 18 months and the shortage of homes on the market is expected to support house price growth well into 2022.

But on the downside, the rising cost of living, combined with an expectation that mortgage rates and taxes will rise next year, will impact affordability.

House price growth is expected to end 2022 at 3%, with growth likely to be strongest in the East Midlands and North West and weakest in London.

Transaction levels are expected to fall by 20% to 1.2 million, in line with the long-running average but still comparatively high compared with the past decade.

House price growth expected to slow in 2022 with regional variations

Richard Donnell, said: ‘The impact of the pandemic on the housing market has further to run but at a less frenetic pace.

‘We expect the momentum in the market to outweigh some emerging headwinds from higher living costs and the risk of higher mortgage rates.

‘The latest data shows a turning point in the rate of house price growth, which we expect to slow quickly with average UK house prices up 3% by the end of 2022.’

What could this mean for you?

First-time buyers

The market remains fast-moving and is not expected to start slowing down until well into 2022.

As a result, you’ll need to be prepared to move quickly if you see somewhere you like. It’s a good idea to have a mortgage offer agreed in principle before you start house hunting.

With many potential buyers looking for more space, particularly a garden, you may find you have more choice and less pressure if you opt for a flat.

Home-movers

If you’re thinking of moving, it remains a great time to put your home on the market as demand from potential buyers is continuing to outstrip supply.

Unfortunately, these same dynamics may make it challenging to find your next home.

Do as much research as you can before listing your current property and talk to local estate agents to find out how fast the market is moving in your area.

If the market is moving very quickly, you may want to have an offer accepted on a property you want to buy before listing your current home for sale.

 

Key takeaways

  • An estimated 1.5 million homes are expected to change hands in 2021, making it the busiest year for the housing market since 2007
  • 22% of people currently want to move, significantly higher than the usual 5% in a normal market
  • Annual house price growth was 6.6% at the end of September but is expected to slow to 3% in 2022

Sitting on a gold mine: value of British homes soars by 20% in 5 years

Nearly 12 million homes have increased in value by £49,000 or more since 2016. How much could your home be worth?

The total value of British homes has soared by 20% in the past five years.

That’s a whopping £1.6 trillion (tn), around the same figure as the market cap of Apple – the world’s most valuable company.

It means that almost 12 million homes have jumped in value by the national average of £49,000 or more since 2016, according to our latest research.

Image shows the total value of housing in Britain.

The total value of homes in Britain now stands at a staggering £9.2tn.

To put this eye-watering figure into perspective, it’s more than four times the GDP of the UK  – the value of all goods produced and services provided each year.

And it’s more than four times the value of all the companies listed on the FTSE 100.

What’s behind this?

House price growth since 2016 has been underpinned by ultra-low mortgage rates.

And in the past 18 months, the pandemic has driven increased buyer demand as people reassess what they want from a home.

But this demand has been met by only a limited supply of homes for sale, fuelling house price growth.

What could this mean for you?

The steep increase in house prices means your home could be worth more than you think.

If you are thinking of moving, you may have more money for your next purchase than you realised.

Even if you plan to stay put, you could qualify for a cheaper mortgage, as you will be borrowing a lower proportion of its value.

“Understanding the value of your home, and the equity you hold within the property, can help when it comes to making future plans.”

What’s happening in your area?

Homes in the south east have seen the biggest increase in value over the past five years, collectively rising by £294 billion (bn).

By comparison, homes in London saw £214bn added to their value over the same timescale.

Image shows how the value of housing compares across the regions.

Even so, London is the most valuable region, with homes in the city collectively worth £2.4tn.

It means that although the capital accounts for just 13% of British properties, it is home to a quarter of Britain’s housing wealth.

Image shows the share of housing value and volume of homes in different areas.

The south east has the second highest value of homes at £1.7tn, followed by the east of England at £1tn.

At the other end of the scale, homes in the north east are collectively worth £197bn, while those in Wales are valued at £308bn.

Where have homes risen in value the most?

More than two-thirds of homes in 53 of the country’s 367 local authority areas have risen by more than £49,000 since 2016.

Monmouthshire tops the list, with 88% of homes increasing by more than the national average.

It's followed by Hastings at 83% and Trafford at 82%.

Key takeaways

  • The total value of British homes has soared by 20% – £1.6 trillion (tn) – in the past five years
  • The average property has risen in value by £49,257 since 2016
  • The value of Britain’s homes now totals £9.2tn – four times the UK’s GDP

Revealed: Britain’s most expensive streets

Discover which addresses have made it into our top 10. Spoiler alert: a typical home on the most expensive street could set you back a cool £29.9m.

Kensington Palace Gardens has been crowned Britain’s most expensive street for the 13th year running.

With an average property price of just under £29.9m, the street is well known for its embassies and billionaire residents.

It also counts Kensington Palace, home to the Duke and Duchess of Cambridge, among its neighbours.

In fact, all of the top 10 most expensive streets in the country are in London.

And all of the 10 most expensive streets outside of London are within commuting distance of the capital too.

There are now a whopping 11,673 streets in Britain where the average home is valued at £1m or more, our Rist List for 2021 shows.

head of research at Zoopla, explained: “This data illustrates how the type and size of properties coupled with some of the most desirable locations around the country create prime areas, resulting in some of the most valuable residential streets in the country.”

What are the 10 most expensive streets in Britain?

While Kensington Palace Gardens was the priciest street for the 13th year running, Courtenay Avenue, on the edge of Hampstead Heath in London’s Highgate, took second place for the third year running. Homes on the road would set you back £19.4m.

It was followed by Grosvenor Crescent in Belgravia, where homes command an average price tag of £17.2m. The street is just a short stroll from Buckingham Palace Gardens.

There were 3 new entrants in the top 10 this year: The Boltons, Frognal Way, and Carlyle Square.

 
Rank Street Outcode Town/city Average house price
1 Kensington Palace Gardens W8 London £29.9m
2 Courtenay Avenue N6 London £19.4m
3 Grosvenor Crescent SW1X London £17.2m
4 Ilchester Place W14 London £15.2m
5 The Boltons SW10 London £14.2m
6 Manresa Road SW3 London £11.2m
7 Frognal Way NW3 London £11.1m
8 Compton Avenue N6 London £10.2m
9 Cottesmore Gardens W8 London £10m
10 Carlyle Square SW3 London £9.8m

What are the 10 most expensive streets outside London?

Titlarks Hill in Ascot, Berkshire, where the average home costs £8.4m, is the most expensive street outside of London, knocking Leatherhead off the top spot.

And Montrose Gardens in Leatherhead, Surrey, located within the exclusive Crown Estate, is the second most expensive place to buy a home outside of the capital.

Meanwhile, 5 of the top 10 most expensive streets outside of London are in Virginia Water, Surrey.

They include Portnall Rise, the third most expensive street outside of the capital.

 
Rank Street Outcode Town/city County Average house price
1 Titlarks Hill SL5 Ascot Windsor & Maidenhead £8.4m
2 Montrose Gardens KT22 Leatherhead Surrey £7m
3 Portnall Rise GU25 Virginia Water Surrey £6.4m
4 Woodlands Road East GU25 Virginia Water Surrey £6.2m
5 Camp End Road KT13 Weybridge Surrey £6.1m
6 Fulmer Rise SL3 Slough Berkshire £6m
7 Wentworth Drive GU25 Virginia Water Surrey £5.9m
8 North Drive GU25 Virginia Water Surrey £5.7m
9 Pinewood Road GU25 Virginia Water Surrey £5.6m
10 Yaffle Road KT13 Weybridge Surrey £5.5m

Zoopla, September 2021

How many expensive streets are there in your region?

Unsurprisingly, London is home to the highest number of streets where the average property is worth £1m or more.

It is closely followed by the south east, with the east of England coming in third place.

At the other end of the scale, Wales has only 9 streets with homes that cost an average of at least £1m.

 
Region Number of streets with £1m-plus homes September 2021 Number of streets with £1m-plus homes September 2020 Difference
London 4,544 4,282 262
South east England 4,366 3,424 942
East of England 1,464 1,263 201
South west England 512 334 178
North west England 276 218 58
West Midlands 205 137 68
Scotland 136 101 35
East Midlands 65 58 7
Yorkshire and the Humber 55 39 16
North east England 41 31 10
Wales 9 4 5
Total 11,673 9,891 1,782

Which towns have the most million-pound streets?

Guildford took the top spot for the town with the most streets on which homes are valued at an average of £1m or more.

It was followed by other towns within commuting distance of London, including Reading, Sevenoaks and Leatherhead.

Altrincham in Cheshire, an area popular with Premiership footballers, was the only town in a northern region to make it into the top 10.

And it was also the only town in the list not to be within commuting distance of London.

 
Town Number of streets with £1m-plus homes September 2021 Number of streets with £1m-plus homes September 2020 Difference
Guildford 176 140 36
Reading 137 110 27
Sevenoaks 133 113 20
Leatherhead 127 112 15
Farnham 116 77 39
Harpenden 115 100 15
Altrincham 105 87 18
Maidenhead 100 94 6
Henley-on-Thames 98 89 9
Woking 97 72 25

 

Key takeaways

  • Kensington Palace Gardens has been crowned Britain’s most expensive street for the 13th year running.
  • All of the top 10 most expensive streets are in London. And all of the 10 most expensive streets outside of London are within commuting distance of the capital.
  • There are now 11,673 streets in Britain where the average home is valued at £1m or more.

UK house prices hit record high

The value of the average home has increased by £44 per day in the last 6 months alone.

UK house prices have hit a record high of £235,000 as sales are agreed at their fastest pace for 5 years.

The average home in the UK has increased in value by £44 per day in the past 6 months alone.

This is up from £30 per day between July 2020 and January 2021.

Meanwhile, the time it takes to agree a sale on a home is now less than 30 days, according to our latest House Price Index report.

House prices climbed by 6.1% in the last year – more than double the rate of annual house price growth seen in August 2020.

At a regional level, house prices rose the most in Wales at 9.8%, followed by Northern Ireland at 8.4% and north west England at 8%.

And in terms of cities, Liverpool continued to lead the way. House prices in the city jumped by 9.8%, followed by Manchester and Sheffield at 8.1% and 7.6% respectively.

At the other end of the scale, house price growth continued to lag the national average in London, with property prices edging ahead by just 2.2% in the last year.

The gap between house price growth in Wales and London was one of the widest seen in the past 3 years.

The pandemic-induced search for space continued to fuel house hunting, with buyer demand still 35% higher than the average for the past 5 years.

There was a noticeable uptick in the number of buyers in London, with demand rising by 14% during the past month as many return to office life.

Houses continue to be more popular than flats, with buyer interest in houses up 25% in the capital compared with 6% for flats.

Meanwhile, the fast-approaching deadline for the stamp duty holiday in England and Northern Ireland at the end of this month does not appear to have dampened buyers’ enthusiasm.

The housing market is moving at its fastest pace for 5 years.

The time between listing a property and agreeing a sale has consistently averaged less than 30 days each month since May. Normally, it takes 40 days at this time of year.

And the acute shortage of homes for sale continues, with levels 28% lower so far this year compared with the average for 2020.

What could this mean for you?

First-time buyers

Despite the shortage of homes for sale, there is some good news for people taking their first step onto the property ladder.

There’s evidence that some landlords are selling up. Some 8% of homes that are currently listed for sale have been previously rented, rising to 13% in London. That’s up from a UK-wide average of just 3% 2 years ago.

And this in turn could boost choice for first-time buyers, who are typically interested in buying the same types of homes as landlords.

Also, if you are happy to purchase a flat, you are not only likely to face less competition, but you could also be in a stronger position to negotiate on the price.

Even so, the market remains fast-moving. It pays to get all your ducks in a row before you start your property search, so that you will be in a position to move quickly when you see something you like.

Home-movers

People moving up the property ladder continue to face the challenge of being both a seller and a buyer.

The good news is that if you have a family home to put on the market, you are likely to be able to secure both a top price and a quick sale.

The downside is that you are also likely to face stiff competition from other potential buyers for your next home. Meanwhile, the shortage of homes for sale may mean you have limited choice.

If you need to coordinate the sale of your current home and buy your next one, speak to a local estate agent. They’ll give you a good sense of the pace of your local housing market and whether there are currently many properties up for sale that meet your criteria.

Depending on how quickly the market is moving, you may want to have an offer accepted on a home you like before listing your current one for sale.